tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13617569.post115417901919848446..comments2024-03-06T05:17:31.852-07:00Comments on Integral Options Cafe: Gratitudewilliam harrymanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06981478282688361274noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13617569.post-1154180824377674332006-07-29T06:47:00.000-07:002006-07-29T06:47:00.000-07:00Hi Bill. My fiance and I were talking about this ...Hi Bill. My fiance and I were talking about this just the other day (weather changes, global warming, etc.). We were discussing first how many government officials, and some of their scientists, were expressing disbelief in global warming. And then reports came out of the administration's changing of the wording of the big environmental report put out a year or so back. <BR/><BR/>And so the last few big studies of global warming have finally brought just about everyone onboard. But we were talking about how we've asked many poeple around us and nearly everyone gives anecdotal evidence for how different weather patterns are now from what they were 20, or even 10, years ago (at least in Chicago), mostly based on strange temperatures in various seasons occurring much more frequently. <BR/><BR/>Now, I'm an engineer, so I understand fully, and expect, statistical aberrations in normal weather patterns—some years we're going to have a spike or big dip in temp on a number of days; that just happens. I also understand that anecdotal evidence isn't exactly proof positive. :) But here's my thought. There is an <I>awful lot</I> of anecdotal evidence by people (even accounting for faulty memory, exaggeration, etc.) based on my own "experiments." Also, I'm no climatologist, but "this is part of a natural cycle that will get worse in the next 10-20 years before producing an average drop of around 4 degrees" seems to be quite a temperature swing in average northern hemisphere temps over that MICROSECOND of geological time. There's lots of evidence about earth's cycles, and of course we're ALWAYS operating within an earth cycle, but I don't think they usually occur over such a small time span.<BR/><BR/>Nice post, Bill!Mikehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17934386917419130389noreply@blogger.com